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GOD PLAYS DICE™The magazine of big questions

THE UNIVERSE EXPLAINER

Is There a Theory of Everything?

Physicists have merged forces of nature before. Gravity is the holdout, and no candidate theory of everything has yet passed a decisive test.

Blue-tinted bubble chamber photograph dotted with bright ring-shaped reflections and speckles. In the lower part, a thin track with small curls runs roughly sideways, left by an electron.
Historical photograph · Real tracks in CERN's Gargamelle bubble chamber: a neutrino struck an electron, part of the 1973 evidence for the neutral current predicted by electroweak theory.CERN (CERN Photo Archive) · CC BY 4.0Image source ↗

THE SHORT ANSWER

Not yet. Physicists have unified electricity, magnetism and the weak force, and the Standard Model describes three of the four known forces very well. But gravity has never been joined with quantum physics. String theory and loop quantum gravity are serious candidates, yet neither has passed an experimental test that could confirm it.

  • There are four known forces: gravity, electromagnetism, the strong force and the weak force.
  • Past unifications worked: Maxwell joined electricity and magnetism, and electroweak theory joined electromagnetism with the weak force.
  • Gravity is the holdout: no one has made general relativity and quantum physics mathematically compatible.
  • String theory and loop quantum gravity remain unconfirmed; proton decay and gamma-ray timing are real tests.

Not yet. Physicists have joined several forces of nature into single theories, and the Standard Model of particle physics describes three of the four known forces with great success. But gravity, described by Einstein’s general relativity, has never been joined with quantum physics, the rules of the very small. Serious candidates exist, including string theory and loop quantum gravity. None has passed an experimental test that could confirm it.

So a “theory of everything” is a goal, not a finished result. Whether nature even has one final theory is an open question.

What are the four forces?

As far as we know, everything in the universe is built from a few kinds of basic particles, pushed and pulled by four fundamental forces:

  • Gravity is by far the weakest force, but it reaches across any distance. It rules at the scale of our bodies and of planets.
  • Electromagnetism covers electricity, magnetism and light. It also reaches across any distance, and it is far stronger than gravity.
  • The strong force is the strongest of the four, but it acts only across tiny, subatomic distances.
  • The weak force also acts only at subatomic distances. It can change one kind of particle into another, which is part of what lets the Sun burn.

In the Standard Model, three of these forces are carried by particles: the photon for electromagnetism, gluons for the strong force, and the W and Z bosons for the weak force. A carrier for gravity, called the graviton, has been proposed but never found.

Has unifying forces worked before?

Yes, and that is why physicists keep trying. In the 1860s, James Clerk Maxwell showed that electricity and magnetism are two sides of one electromagnetic force. About a century later, Sheldon Glashow, Abdus Salam and Steven Weinberg linked electromagnetism with the weak force. Their “electroweak” theory made a bold prediction: a new kind of weak interaction, called a neutral current. In 1973, the Gargamelle bubble chamber at CERN found the first direct evidence of it. In 1983, CERN experiments discovered the W and Z particles the theory required. In 2012, CERN experiments found the Higgs boson, an essential part of the Standard Model.

Think of ice, water and steam. They look very different, but they are one substance at different temperatures. Physicists suspect the forces work in a similar way. At everyday energies, electromagnetism and the weak force look different. At the high energies reached in particle collisions, they begin to act on equal terms. The strong force also gets weaker at higher energies. That hints that three forces might merge at energies at least a thousand million times beyond any accelerator. Conditions like that existed only in the first tiny fraction of a second after the Big Bang. Ideas that merge these three forces are called grand unified theories.

Why does gravity refuse to join?

General relativity describes gravity as the curving of space and time. Quantum physics describes the world of particles, where energy comes in tiny packets and outcomes are matters of chance. Each works beautifully in its own domain. But as CERN puts it, no one has yet managed to make the two mathematically compatible.

Most of the time this does not matter. Between single particles, gravity is so weak it can be ignored. The trouble comes where both matter at once: at the very beginning of the universe, and deep inside black holes. There, gravity is strong and distances are tiny. Physicists expect a quantum theory of gravity to take over at the “Planck scale,” a length of about 10⁻³³ centimeters. Written out, that is a decimal point followed by 32 zeros and then a 1. It is so far beyond our instruments that direct tests have long seemed nearly impossible.

What are the leading candidates?

String theory replaces point-like particles with tiny vibrating strings. Different vibrations would show up as different particles, and one of them behaves like the graviton. That is why string theorists see it as a possible single theory of all four forces. It has a price: the math needs nine dimensions of space plus one of time. A major problem, the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy notes, is a lack of testable predictions. The theory allows a huge number of possible “ground states,” each like a different version of the universe, with no agreed way to pick out ours.

Loop quantum gravity is more modest. It does not try to unite all the forces. It tries to make space and time themselves quantum. Its supporters say it predicts that area and volume come in tiny, separate chunks, like the pixels of a screen. That could, in principle, be tested.

Both approaches can reproduce a famous calculation about the hidden disorder, or entropy, of black holes. That is encouraging, but the calculation rests on Hawking radiation, which has never been observed. Other ideas, such as supersymmetry, predict a partner particle for every known particle. But in 2022, a decade after the Higgs discovery, CERN reported no statistically significant hints of new particles at the Large Hadron Collider.

Extra dimensions turn up in other ideas, too. The book behind this magazine explores one: author Ricardo Maldonado’s HD-Blast hypothesis, his own unconfirmed proposal that our hot early universe may be the local aftermath of a brief higher-dimensional blast. It is not a candidate theory of everything, and it has not been confirmed. Our explainer on how to test an extra dimension shows what checking ideas like this involves.

What do we still not know?

We do not know which approach, if any, is right. We do not even know whether one final theory exists. Researchers do not all mean the same thing by the goal. String theorists seek one theory for all four forces. Others seek only to make gravity quantum. And the Standard Model leaves other big questions open, including what dark matter is and why there is more matter than antimatter.

Even a complete theory would describe the basic rules of nature, not everything a person cares about. Questions of meaning, value and belief involve philosophy and personal conviction as well as science.

What would a real test look like?

A real test is a risky prediction, made before looking, that could turn out wrong. Here are the kinds of tests physicists run:

  • Protons that decay. Grand unified theories predict that protons are not quite eternal. The simplest version predicted decay fast enough to see. Searches in the 1980s found none, and Japan’s Super-Kamiokande detector later ruled that version out. By 2016, Super-Kamiokande had shown that protons last, on average, at least 10³⁴ years. That is a 1 followed by 34 zeros. Seeing even one proton decay would be huge news.
  • Light from distant explosions. Some quantum gravity ideas allow the speed of light in empty space to depend very slightly on its energy. NASA’s Fermi telescope timed gamma rays from bright bursts in distant galaxies. High- and low-energy rays from one 2009 burst arrived so close together that the results disfavor a whole class of those models.
  • New particles or new laws. Partner particles at colliders, or small changes in gravity at short distances, would point toward specific theories.

The encyclopedia also notes recent proposals for tabletop laboratory experiments that could test whether gravity behaves in a quantum way. Any result like these would help. A candidate that only fits old data, without risking a new prediction, has not yet earned the same confidence. We explore that difference in fitting data versus making a prediction.

For now, the dream of one theory remains a guide, not a destination. Which piece of the puzzle would you most like to see tested next?

WHERE THE EVIDENCE STANDS

How sure are we?

  • EstablishedElectromagnetism and the weak force are two faces of one electroweak force.Its predicted neutral current was found in 1973; W and Z particles followed in 1983.
  • Open questionString theory is the theory of everything.Rich mathematics, but no confirmed testable prediction yet.
  • Not supportedThe simplest grand unified theory is correct.Its predicted proton decay never appeared in 1980s searches; Super-Kamiokande later ruled it out.
  • Beyond scienceA final theory of physics would answer questions of meaning.Physics describes nature's rules; meaning and value also involve philosophy and belief.
What the labels mean

WORDS WORTH KNOWING

Standard Model
Physics' well-tested theory of known particles and three forces: electromagnetism, the strong force and the weak force.
Quantum gravity
A hoped-for theory describing gravity by quantum rules; no version is confirmed yet.
Grand unified theory
An idea that electromagnetism and the weak and strong forces merge at extremely high energies.
Planck scale
A tiny length, about 10⁻³³ centimeters, where quantum effects of gravity are expected to matter.

Sources & further reading

  1. The Standard Model ↗CERN · Four forces, their ranges and carriers; gravity not included; quantum theory and general relativity not yet made compatible; new particle consistent with the Higgs (2012).
  2. Unified forces ↗CERN · Maxwell's 1860s unification, electroweak unification, and hints of grand unification at energies a thousand million times beyond accelerators.
  3. The Gargamelle bubble chamber ↗CERN · July 1973 first direct evidence of weak neutral currents predicted by Glashow, Salam and Weinberg; W and Z discovery in 1983.
  4. W boson: Sunshine and stardust ↗CERN · The weak force changes particle identity, letting stars burn; W discovery announced 25 January 1983 by UA1 and UA2; Higgs found 2012.
  5. Quantum Gravity ↗Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy · Planck length of 10^-33 cm; string theory's nine space dimensions and many vacua; loop quantum gravity's discrete area and volume; black hole entropy; tabletop experiment proposals.
  6. Grand Unification Dream Kept at Bay ↗Quanta Magazine (Natalie Wolchover, 2016) · Simplest SU(5) prediction falsified by 1980s searches and later ruled out by Super-Kamiokande; lifetime limit just above 10^34 years.
  7. Constraints on Lorentz Invariance Violation from Fermi-Large Area Telescope Observations of Gamma-Ray Bursts ↗NASA Technical Reports Server (Fermi-LAT) · Four bright gamma-ray bursts; strongest limits from GRB 090510; disfavors a class of quantum gravity models.
  8. ATLAS strengthens its search for supersymmetry ↗CERN · 6 April 2022: no statistically significant hints of new particles at the LHC in the decade since the Higgs discovery.

#Particle physics#Theory of everything

KEEP ASKING

What is the difference between string theory and loop quantum gravity, in plain words?